  |
 | Оценка вероятности возникновения гидродинамических аварий при каскадном расположении водохранилищ |
| UDC 519.2:[627.8.059.22] |
| Authors | Levkevich Viktor Evgen'evich, PhD in Technical Sciences, Associate Professor
Pastukhov Sergey Mikhaylovich, PhD in Technical Sciences, Associate Professor
Mil'man V.A., PhD in Physico-Mathematical Sciences
|
| Abstract | The methodology for assessment of the hydrodynamic disaster probability on artificial water objects of Republic of Belarus has been presented. It has been developed on the basis of the fault-tree analysis method. The methodology considers natural and anthropogenic risk factors effects on the artificial water objects; the tandem and isolated reservoirs arrangement has been considered as well. The probability calculation results for hydrodynamic disaster of Svisloch tandem reservoir system have been presented. The developed methodology can be applied for hydrodynamic disaster probability assessment as well as for short-term and long-term prognoses.
|
| Keywords |
|
* Metadata of the article in the English version is available in full starting in 2016.